| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 31.59 | 56.4% | 17.81 | 56.8% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 21.30 | 55.7% | 11.87 | 56.0% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.10 | 54.3% | 51.63 | 55.5% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.50 | 46.5% | 15.11 | 53.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →