| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.00 | 39.8% | 23.87 | 59.5% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.94 | 59.9% | 51.48 | 60.9% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 26.01 | 58.6% | 15.23 | 58.9% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 64.74 | 57.4% | 37.19 | 58.2% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.30 | 55.3% | 59.37 | 56.7% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 77.59 | 53.0% | 41.15 | 54.0% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.01 | 47.7% | 10.49 | 52.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →