| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.25 | 83.1% | 60.00 | 16.4% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.17 | 82.0% | 60.00 | 17.5% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.77 | 81.0% | 46.80 | 18.5% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.50 | 80.3% | 24.50 | 19.4% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.36 | 79.5% | 58.32 | 19.9% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.66 | 78.5% | 39.75 | 21.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →