| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 181.35 | 33.1% | 60.00 | 35.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 21.67 | 30.9% | 6.69 | 31.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.76 | 29.6% | 29.52 | 30.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 206.27 | 26.5% | 54.70 | 28.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 115.70 | 23.5% | 27.18 | 24.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 300.09 | 20.0% | 60.00 | 22.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →