| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 31.03 | 56.9% | 17.66 | 57.3% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 22.28 | 56.2% | 12.53 | 56.5% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 110.89 | 42.7% | 47.31 | 56.0% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.28 | 40.4% | 30.81 | 58.7% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 14.83 | 60.3% | 8.95 | 60.5% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 35.97 | 59.7% | 21.49 | 60.2% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 62.00 | 58.6% | 36.30 | 59.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →