| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.27 | 81.9% | 48.55 | 17.6% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.42 | 81.1% | 35.23 | 18.5% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.04 | 80.5% | 29.02 | 19.2% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.50 | 80.0% | 21.21 | 19.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →