| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 42.29 | 27.2% | 11.52 | 27.7% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 31.23 | 26.5% | 8.28 | 26.8% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.60 | 73.5% | 21.02 | 26.2% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.61 | 72.9% | 26.68 | 26.8% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.90 | 71.9% | 43.07 | 27.5% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.30 | 71.0% | 21.51 | 28.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →