| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.51 | 80.6% | 19.74 | 19.3% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 64.84 | 79.8% | 51.77 | 19.6% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.01 | 78.9% | 39.46 | 20.7% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.43 | 20.8% | 19.18 | 21.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →