| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 81.73 | 41.1% | 33.56 | 42.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.61 | 59.5% | 22.96 | 40.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.66 | 58.3% | 35.34 | 41.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.26 | 56.9% | 26.91 | 42.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.36 | 56.2% | 8.63 | 43.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.82 | 55.6% | 15.48 | 44.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 24.39 | 44.4% | 10.83 | 44.7% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.18 | 55.4% | 20.61 | 44.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →