| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.60 | 59.0% | 52.87 | 39.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.19 | 57.5% | 19.09 | 42.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 107.55 | 55.8% | 60.00 | 42.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 18.64 | 54.2% | 10.11 | 45.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 135.35 | 44.3% | 60.00 | 46.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 146.76 | 40.9% | 60.00 | 42.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 18.22 | 60.7% | 11.05 | 39.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 38.32 | 39.1% | 14.98 | 39.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.83 | 61.1% | 15.16 | 38.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.15 | 60.3% | 22.41 | 39.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →