| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.37 | 58.0% | 60.00 | 40.7% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 49.59 | 42.6% | 21.13 | 43.2% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.92 | 57.3% | 34.31 | 42.0% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.72 | 55.2% | 60.00 | 43.5% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 64.91 | 45.4% | 29.44 | 46.2% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 26.16 | 44.2% | 11.57 | 44.6% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.54 | 42.6% | 44.56 | 43.9% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 8.68 | 58.5% | 5.08 | 41.4% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 104.98 | 57.2% | 60.00 | 41.6% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 57.24 | 43.4% | 24.86 | 44.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →