| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.43 | 78.2% | 43.37 | 21.3% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.51 | 77.6% | 12.82 | 22.2% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.60 | 77.0% | 42.81 | 22.5% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.89 | 76.2% | 28.10 | 23.5% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.04 | 75.6% | 17.42 | 24.2% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.81 | 75.1% | 21.65 | 24.6% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.84 | 74.7% | 14.82 | 25.1% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 61.90 | 73.9% | 45.74 | 25.5% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.19 | 72.6% | 50.24 | 26.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →