| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.49 | 52.8% | 43.56 | 46.2% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.44 | 50.8% | 38.85 | 48.2% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.80 | 49.3% | 22.09 | 50.1% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 69.65 | 50.4% | 35.09 | 51.2% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.67 | 50.3% | 8.38 | 49.5% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.61 | 48.8% | 44.21 | 49.9% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.16 | 51.4% | 38.13 | 47.7% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.02 | 50.0% | 18.52 | 49.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →