| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.36 | 75.3% | 25.13 | 24.4% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.66 | 74.3% | 53.28 | 25.0% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.36 | 72.9% | 60.00 | 26.3% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.30 | 71.2% | 60.00 | 28.0% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.47 | 69.4% | 60.00 | 29.7% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.89 | 67.5% | 60.00 | 31.5% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.62 | 65.5% | 60.00 | 33.5% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 82.54 | 34.6% | 28.57 | 35.6% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.75 | 32.5% | 34.70 | 33.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →