| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 126.46 | 47.4% | 60.00 | 49.0% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 58.59 | 45.1% | 26.45 | 45.9% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 108.12 | 43.1% | 46.59 | 44.4% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 150.15 | 40.0% | 60.00 | 41.8% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 165.55 | 36.2% | 60.00 | 38.2% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 185.79 | 32.3% | 60.00 | 34.3% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 54.31 | 29.7% | 16.14 | 30.3% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 113.21 | 28.0% | 31.70 | 29.2% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 244.27 | 24.6% | 60.00 | 26.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →