| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 9.16 | 81.8% | 7.49 | 18.2% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 48.80 | 18.0% | 8.76 | 18.3% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 20.92 | 82.3% | 17.21 | 17.6% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.99 | 81.6% | 59.53 | 17.9% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.82 | 80.8% | 21.67 | 19.0% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.01 | 80.0% | 60.00 | 19.4% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 68.92 | 78.8% | 54.32 | 20.6% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.35 | 77.6% | 60.00 | 21.8% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 88.55 | 22.3% | 19.78 | 23.1% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 172.12 | 20.2% | 34.71 | 21.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →