| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 63.44 | 66.7% | 42.32 | 67.4% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 38.77 | 65.6% | 25.42 | 66.0% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 27.21 | 64.8% | 17.64 | 65.1% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.77 | 35.0% | 15.66 | 64.5% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 35.69 | 65.1% | 23.24 | 65.5% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.75 | 63.7% | 54.65 | 64.7% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.00 | 36.4% | 28.36 | 62.7% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 66.36 | 63.8% | 42.32 | 64.5% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.98 | 61.9% | 60.00 | 63.0% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.83 | 59.5% | 60.00 | 60.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →