| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 139.79 | 42.9% | 60.00 | 44.6% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 38.16 | 40.8% | 15.55 | 41.2% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 17.06 | 40.1% | 6.84 | 40.3% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.19 | 59.1% | 50.34 | 39.9% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.29 | 56.9% | 51.98 | 41.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →