| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 71.69 | 21.5% | 15.45 | 22.2% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.97 | 20.1% | 20.71 | 20.9% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 68.94 | 80.2% | 55.26 | 19.3% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.89 | 79.1% | 45.81 | 20.4% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 46.81 | 78.3% | 36.63 | 21.3% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.57 | 77.6% | 19.85 | 22.1% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.61 | 77.0% | 38.19 | 22.6% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.27 | 76.0% | 48.06 | 23.5% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.88 | 74.9% | 40.34 | 24.6% |
| 36 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.22 | 24.7% | 24.51 | 25.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →