| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 41.44 | 46.1% | 19.09 | 46.6% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 44.90 | 45.0% | 20.20 | 45.5% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.92 | 55.1% | 19.80 | 44.4% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.85 | 54.1% | 24.81 | 45.3% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.22 | 53.3% | 8.12 | 46.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 132.76 | 45.2% | 60.00 | 46.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 58.07 | 42.8% | 24.88 | 43.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 132.44 | 40.5% | 53.68 | 42.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 42.67 | 38.4% | 16.40 | 38.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 166.67 | 36.0% | 60.00 | 37.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 88.15 | 33.1% | 29.19 | 34.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 199.89 | 30.0% | 60.00 | 32.1% |
The condition is on the daily high at station KIAD over its local calendar day 2026-09-26 — local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. A day with a gap over six hours between observations or fewer than twelve observations is withheld: every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. The official NWS value comes from the 1-minute ASOS record and can differ from the METAR extreme by about a degree. Settlement rules →