| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.51 | 47.9% | 35.19 | 51.2% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.25 | 46.5% | 16.86 | 53.0% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.51 | 45.8% | 9.85 | 53.9% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 21.66 | 54.2% | 11.74 | 54.5% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.39 | 45.7% | 13.88 | 53.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →