| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 min ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 62.60 | 34.8% | 21.79 | 35.5% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 143.20 | 32.5% | 46.56 | 34.1% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.80 | 29.8% | 32.72 | 31.0% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 184.01 | 26.8% | 49.37 | 28.7% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 194.28 | 23.3% | 45.24 | 25.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →