| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| just now | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.22 | 58.8% | 11.30 | 41.0% |
| 27 min ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 151.49 | 39.6% | 60.00 | 41.4% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 69.14 | 37.0% | 25.58 | 37.8% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 175.43 | 34.2% | 60.00 | 36.2% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 199.17 | 30.1% | 60.00 | 32.2% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 232.64 | 25.8% | 60.00 | 28.1% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 193.98 | 21.9% | 42.52 | 23.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →