| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.67 | 78.3% | 60.00 | 21.1% |
| 85 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.01 | 76.9% | 60.00 | 22.4% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.51 | 75.7% | 45.03 | 23.8% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.70 | 74.4% | 60.00 | 24.9% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.46 | 72.8% | 60.00 | 26.4% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.37 | 71.1% | 59.27 | 28.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →