| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.29 | 59.7% | 58.10 | 60.9% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 33.30 | 58.1% | 19.36 | 58.5% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 86.31 | 56.7% | 48.92 | 57.7% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 34.04 | 55.2% | 18.79 | 55.6% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 53.13 | 54.1% | 28.75 | 54.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →