| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.88 | 85.1% | 39.03 | 14.6% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.16 | 84.4% | 44.04 | 15.2% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.74 | 83.9% | 23.28 | 15.9% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 14.94 | 83.6% | 12.49 | 16.3% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.93 | 83.0% | 55.58 | 16.5% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.81 | 82.2% | 43.40 | 17.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →