| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.86 | 69.2% | 26.20 | 30.4% |
| 86 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.44 | 68.1% | 41.18 | 31.2% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.25 | 66.5% | 60.00 | 32.5% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 56.94 | 64.8% | 36.91 | 34.5% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.28 | 34.7% | 35.12 | 35.8% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 119.74 | 32.2% | 38.58 | 33.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →