| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.53 | 64.1% | 60.00 | 65.2% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 66.56 | 62.3% | 41.46 | 63.1% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 52.30 | 60.9% | 31.84 | 61.5% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 57.58 | 59.6% | 34.30 | 60.3% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.81 | 58.2% | 32.48 | 58.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →