| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 38.72 | 62.5% | 24.19 | 62.9% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 40.66 | 61.5% | 25.02 | 62.0% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 13.37 | 60.9% | 8.14 | 61.1% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.80 | 59.5% | 60.00 | 60.7% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 66.44 | 57.5% | 38.20 | 58.3% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 24.12 | 56.4% | 13.60 | 56.7% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 28.24 | 55.7% | 15.74 | 56.1% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.04 | 43.8% | 28.49 | 55.4% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 64.46 | 56.2% | 36.23 | 57.0% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.02 | 44.0% | 22.43 | 55.4% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 83.47 | 55.6% | 46.44 | 56.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →