| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85 min ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.62 | 69.1% | 59.12 | 70.0% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 62.76 | 67.4% | 42.33 | 68.1% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.71 | 66.1% | 36.84 | 66.8% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 73.56 | 64.7% | 47.57 | 65.5% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 45.90 | 63.3% | 29.05 | 63.8% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.39 | 61.6% | 60.00 | 62.8% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 76.41 | 59.5% | 45.49 | 60.5% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.64 | 57.3% | 60.00 | 58.6% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.69 | 54.7% | 60.00 | 56.1% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 115.62 | 51.9% | 60.00 | 53.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →