| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.17 | 58.2% | 60.00 | 40.6% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.06 | 56.3% | 28.73 | 43.1% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.87 | 55.4% | 8.80 | 44.4% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 20.20 | 55.0% | 11.11 | 44.8% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.16 | 54.2% | 23.40 | 45.3% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.18 | 53.3% | 18.20 | 46.3% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 18.40 | 52.6% | 9.68 | 47.2% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.52 | 51.1% | 52.87 | 47.6% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 56.61 | 49.5% | 28.03 | 50.2% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.73 | 50.4% | 30.63 | 48.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →