| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.74 | 84.0% | 58.59 | 15.5% |
| 69 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.94 | 83.4% | 20.79 | 16.5% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.42 | 82.8% | 44.24 | 16.8% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.97 | 81.9% | 54.88 | 17.6% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.19 | 80.9% | 60.00 | 18.6% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.30 | 79.9% | 37.80 | 19.7% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 9.30 | 79.5% | 7.39 | 20.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →