| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.10 | 81.9% | 32.83 | 17.8% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.53 | 81.2% | 40.21 | 18.4% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.79 | 80.2% | 60.00 | 19.2% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.95 | 79.0% | 60.00 | 20.4% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.22 | 77.7% | 60.00 | 21.6% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.99 | 76.6% | 36.76 | 23.0% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.16 | 75.8% | 33.46 | 23.8% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.43 | 74.6% | 60.00 | 24.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →