| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.86 | 65.3% | 19.49 | 34.4% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.73 | 64.1% | 47.25 | 35.1% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.36 | 62.1% | 59.84 | 36.8% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.84 | 60.0% | 48.50 | 39.0% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.88 | 57.8% | 60.00 | 41.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →