| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.00 | 50.1% | 41.09 | 48.9% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 126.29 | 47.5% | 60.00 | 50.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.21 | 52.8% | 54.99 | 54.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 69.67 | 50.6% | 35.25 | 51.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.40 | 48.5% | 45.83 | 49.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →