| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 min ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 69.64 | 57.9% | 40.34 | 58.8% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 32.04 | 56.7% | 18.16 | 57.1% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.21 | 54.9% | 60.00 | 56.3% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.70 | 52.9% | 29.46 | 53.6% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 118.30 | 50.7% | 60.00 | 52.2% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 125.86 | 47.7% | 60.00 | 49.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →