| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.96 | 80.8% | 45.24 | 18.7% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.20 | 80.1% | 33.79 | 19.6% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.62 | 79.5% | 24.34 | 20.3% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.18 | 20.0% | 20.19 | 20.8% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.65 | 80.7% | 19.08 | 19.2% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 42.94 | 19.2% | 8.24 | 19.5% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.65 | 18.4% | 10.26 | 18.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →