| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.42 | 74.6% | 60.00 | 24.6% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.90 | 73.5% | 24.92 | 26.2% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.71 | 72.7% | 37.58 | 26.8% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 173.29 | 26.2% | 45.32 | 27.8% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.35 | 23.7% | 22.08 | 24.5% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.20 | 76.5% | 54.50 | 22.8% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.79 | 75.5% | 33.81 | 24.1% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.51 | 74.9% | 12.37 | 24.9% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.38 | 74.6% | 11.48 | 25.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →