| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 43.77 | 33.6% | 14.71 | 34.1% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.95 | 66.4% | 28.52 | 33.1% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 118.54 | 32.8% | 38.84 | 34.1% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 11.43 | 68.4% | 7.82 | 31.5% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.44 | 67.7% | 35.51 | 31.7% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 68.92 | 32.1% | 22.13 | 32.9% |
| 34 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.80 | 31.0% | 9.25 | 31.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →