| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 12.79 | 67.8% | 8.67 | 32.1% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.81 | 67.4% | 14.70 | 32.3% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 27.02 | 32.5% | 8.79 | 32.8% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 13.10 | 67.6% | 8.86 | 32.2% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.25 | 66.5% | 60.00 | 32.5% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 34.45 | 34.1% | 11.76 | 34.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →