| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.20 | 62.4% | 21.98 | 37.2% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.22 | 61.7% | 18.02 | 38.0% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 27.80 | 38.3% | 10.66 | 38.7% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 142.35 | 36.4% | 51.75 | 38.0% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 73.07 | 33.9% | 24.77 | 34.7% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 13.04 | 66.8% | 8.71 | 33.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →