Cities / Asia

Amman

Jordan·Asia·OJAI·31.95, 35.93

Grade CSettlement risk53%of hours settle-eligible (7d)· 49% (30d)

weathermarket.ai ↗Insure this city Open a market

Hourly consensus

mismatch

Temperature

24.2°C

Humidity

53%

Wind

6.1m/s

Precipitation

0.0mm

WDI: 48.50
TDI: 67.80
Sources: 11 / 11
Settlement: not eligible

Indices · this hour

History & sources on weathermarket.ai ↗Index spec ↗

WDIheadline

48.5

Weather Data Index

Composite of temperature, humidity, wind and rain, 0–100 · unit-free

TDI

67.8

Temperature Data Index

The temperature component on its own, 0–100 · unit-free

Index history · last 7 days · one point per run

WDITDItemp °Cfull history on weathermarket.ai ↗

Loading history…

This hour is not settlement-eligible: a determination targeting it would be withheld and any market on it would settle as void.

Run run_raIn_-TYiW

Anchor 0x85c1cf48…92af4f ↗

as of 2026-09-28 16:01 UTC

refreshed 27 min ago (cached)

Live consensus feed

Reading the run…

weathermarket.ai · the oracle

Eleven independent feeds every hour: two measured at the station, nine numerical models from national weather services.
Outliers excluded per metric, corroboration counted between the measured sources, and a verdict per metric on whether the hour can settle.
Every run hashed and anchored on a public ledger, so the number a market settles on can be checked after the fact.
Station records for the local calendar day with the raw METAR behind each extreme, and a 16-day forecast cut on station time.

weathermarket.io · this simulator

Turns each run into tradeable markets and parametric covers on 167 cities: hourly conditions, station-day extremes and index thresholds.
Prices from the forecast and the index history, shown next to the market so the edge is visible, with a living order book to trade against.
Lists next-day products only where the oracle's recent hours settle, and shows this feed on every market so the evidence is on the page before settlement.
Settles on the oracle's determination and nothing else, with the run, the anchor and the readings kept on the settled market.

Readings and verdict from the oracle's own run as served to a subscriber. The rule that turns eleven readings into one number is the oracle's and is not disclosed; what it decided is.Powered by Weather Data Market

Daily forecast

16 days

HighLowAverageRain2026-09-28 onward · hover a day for every figure

Date	Avg °C	Max	Min	Hum %	Wind m/s	Src
2026-09-28	21.9	27.6	17.5	59	3.4	1
2026-09-29	19.4	23.4	16.0	74	3.0	1
2026-09-30	19.0	24.4	15.2	72	2.8	1
2026-10-01	18.3	23.2	13.8	70	2.6	1
2026-10-02	19.4	24.2	15.3	55	3.3	1
2026-10-03	19.4	25.2	14.9	61	2.3	1
2026-10-04	21.0	27.4	14.2	50	1.8	1
2026-10-05	20.4	25.0	16.4	52	2.3	1
2026-10-06	21.4	25.6	16.4	47	1.4	1
2026-10-07	24.1	29.0	19.9	39	1.5	1
2026-10-08	22.5	27.3	18.0	60	1.8	1
2026-10-09	20.5	25.7	16.2	59	2.0	1
2026-10-10	20.5	25.8	16.2	51	1.4	1
2026-10-11	22.7	27.8	17.3	40	0.8	1
2026-10-12	23.2	27.9	20.1	50	1.6	1
2026-10-13	21.8	26.8	18.3	45	4.2	1

Open markets 55

Product board →

Next-day markets are not listed automatically for Amman: too many of its recent hours were not settlement-eligible, and a next-day market that voids after a day of trading helps nobody. The 3-, 7- and 14-day markets are listed as usual, and you can open a next-day market by hand on the right.

Question	Model	Market	Edge	Closes	Volume
Will Amman humidity ≥ 70% at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	75%	43%	+32	12 h	0 sUSDT
Will Amman temperature ≥ 21°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	12%	34%	-23	12 h	293 sUSDT
Will Amman temperature ≥ 20°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	29%	46%	-17	12 h	0 sUSDT
Will Amman temperature ≥ 19°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	53%	52%	+1	12 h	19 sUSDT
Will Amman humidity ≥ 75% at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	54%	48%	+6	12 h	97 sUSDT
Will Amman temperature ≥ 22°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	4%	27%	-24	12 h	60 sUSDT
Will Amman temperature ≥ 19°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	52%	55%	-3	36 h	0 sUSDT
Will Amman temperature ≥ 21°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	16%	46%	-30	36 h	0 sUSDT
Will Amman temperature ≥ 20°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	32%	52%	-21	36 h	0 sUSDT
Will Amman humidity ≥ 75% at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	46%	46%	-1	36 h	0 sUSDT
Will Amman humidity ≥ 70% at 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC? target 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC	57%	50%	+7	3 d	0 sUSDT
Will Amman humidity ≥ 75% at 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC? target 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC	39%	43%	-4	3 d	0 sUSDT
Will Amman temperature ≥ 19°C at 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC? target 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC	29%	48%	-18	3 d	0 sUSDT
Will Amman temperature ≥ 18°C at 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC? target 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC	46%	49%	-3	3 d	0 sUSDT
Will Amman temperature ≥ 20°C at 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC? target 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC	17%	47%	-31	3 d	0 sUSDT
Will Amman temperature ≥ 18°C at 2026-10-02 06:00 UTC? target 2026-10-02 06:00 UTC	65%	50%	+16	4 d	0 sUSDT
Will Amman temperature ≥ 17°C at 2026-10-02 06:00 UTC? target 2026-10-02 06:00 UTC	78%	53%	+25	4 d	0 sUSDT
Will Amman temperature ≥ 20°C at 2026-10-02 06:00 UTC? target 2026-10-02 06:00 UTC	36%	47%	-11	4 d	0 sUSDT
Will Amman temperature ≥ 19°C at 2026-10-03 06:00 UTC? target 2026-10-03 06:00 UTC	53%	53%	0	5 d	0 sUSDT
Will Amman temperature ≥ 23°C at 2026-10-03 06:00 UTC? target 2026-10-03 06:00 UTC	11%	48%	-38	5 d	0 sUSDT

Recently settled

Question	Result	Settled
Will Amman temperature ≥ 20°C at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?	void	3 h ago
Will Amman humidity ≥ 65% at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?	void	5 h ago
Will Amman temperature ≥ 21°C at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?	void	5 h ago
Will Amman temperature ≥ 23°C at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?	void	5 h ago
Will Amman temperature ≥ 22°C at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?	void	10 h ago

Station day · OJAI · 2026-09-28

2026-09-28 local · 21:00Z → 21:00Z UTC · +03:00

Reading the station…

Open a market

A YES/NO market on a condition at a whole UTC hour, settled by the oracle determination. Priced off the forecast; trading closes 1 h before the target hour.

Parametric insurance

Buy a cover on Amman that pays the full amount when the condition is met at the target hour.

Insure this city →

Date

Avg °C

Max

Min

Rain mm

Hum %

Wind m/s

2026-09-28

21.9

27.6

17.5

0.0

3.4

2026-09-29

19.4

23.4

16.0

0.0

3.0

2026-09-30

19.0

24.4

15.2

0.0

2.8

2026-10-01

18.3

23.2

13.8

0.0

2.6

2026-10-02

19.4

24.2

15.3

0.0

3.3

2026-10-03

19.4

25.2

14.9

0.0

2.3

2026-10-04

21.0

27.4

14.2

0.0

1.8

2026-10-05

20.4

25.0

16.4

0.0

2.3

2026-10-06

21.4

25.6

16.4

0.0

1.4

2026-10-07

24.1

29.0

19.9

0.0

1.5

2026-10-08

22.5

27.3

18.0

0.0

1.8

2026-10-09

20.5

25.7

16.2

0.0

2.0

2026-10-10

20.5

25.8

16.2

0.0

1.4

2026-10-11

22.7

27.8

17.3

0.0

0.8

2026-10-12

23.2

27.9

20.1

0.0

1.6

2026-10-13

21.8

26.8

18.3

0.0

4.2

Question

Market

Edge

Closes

Will Amman humidity ≥ 70% at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC

43%

+32

12 h

Will Amman temperature ≥ 21°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC

34%

-23

12 h

Will Amman temperature ≥ 20°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC

46%

-17

12 h

Will Amman temperature ≥ 19°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC

52%

12 h

Will Amman humidity ≥ 75% at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC

48%

12 h

Will Amman temperature ≥ 22°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC

27%

-24

12 h

Will Amman temperature ≥ 19°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC

55%

-3

36 h

Will Amman temperature ≥ 21°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC

46%

-30

36 h

Will Amman temperature ≥ 20°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC

52%

-21

36 h

Will Amman humidity ≥ 75% at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC

46%

-1

36 h

Will Amman humidity ≥ 70% at 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC

50%

3 d

Will Amman humidity ≥ 75% at 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC

43%

-4

3 d

Will Amman temperature ≥ 19°C at 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC

48%

-18

3 d

Will Amman temperature ≥ 18°C at 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC

49%

-3

3 d

Will Amman temperature ≥ 20°C at 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC

47%

-31

3 d

Will Amman temperature ≥ 18°C at 2026-10-02 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-10-02 06:00 UTC

50%

+16

4 d

Will Amman temperature ≥ 17°C at 2026-10-02 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-10-02 06:00 UTC

53%

+25

4 d

Will Amman temperature ≥ 20°C at 2026-10-02 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-10-02 06:00 UTC

47%

-11

4 d

Will Amman temperature ≥ 19°C at 2026-10-03 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-10-03 06:00 UTC

53%

5 d

Will Amman temperature ≥ 23°C at 2026-10-03 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-10-03 06:00 UTC

48%

-38

5 d

Question

Result

Settled

Will Amman temperature ≥ 20°C at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?

void

3 h ago

Will Amman humidity ≥ 65% at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?

void

5 h ago

Will Amman temperature ≥ 21°C at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?

void

5 h ago

Will Amman temperature ≥ 23°C at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?

void

5 h ago

Will Amman temperature ≥ 22°C at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?

void

10 h ago

Open a market

A YES/NO market on a condition at a whole UTC hour, settled by the oracle determination. Priced off the forecast; trading closes 1 h before the target hour.