Cities / Asia

Cebu

Philippines·Asia·RPVM·10.32, 123.89

Grade CSettlement risk68%of hours settle-eligible (7d)· 58% (30d)

weathermarket.ai ↗Insure this city Open a market

Hourly consensus

mixed

Temperature

25.9°C

Humidity

92%

Wind

1.2m/s

Precipitation

0.0mm

WDI: 54.10
TDI: 69.90
Sources: 10 / 11
Settlement: not eligible

Indices · this hour

History & sources on weathermarket.ai ↗Index spec ↗

WDIheadline

54.1

Weather Data Index

Composite of temperature, humidity, wind and rain, 0–100 · unit-free

TDI

69.9

Temperature Data Index

The temperature component on its own, 0–100 · unit-free

Index history · last 7 days · one point per run

WDITDItemp °Cfull history on weathermarket.ai ↗

Loading history…

This hour is not settlement-eligible: a determination targeting it would be withheld and any market on it would settle as void.

Run run_raIn_-TYiW

Anchor 0x85c1cf48…92af4f ↗

as of 2026-09-28 16:01 UTC

refreshed 28 min ago (cached)

Live consensus feed

Reading the run…

weathermarket.ai · the oracle

Eleven independent feeds every hour: two measured at the station, nine numerical models from national weather services.
Outliers excluded per metric, corroboration counted between the measured sources, and a verdict per metric on whether the hour can settle.
Every run hashed and anchored on a public ledger, so the number a market settles on can be checked after the fact.
Station records for the local calendar day with the raw METAR behind each extreme, and a 16-day forecast cut on station time.

weathermarket.io · this simulator

Turns each run into tradeable markets and parametric covers on 167 cities: hourly conditions, station-day extremes and index thresholds.
Prices from the forecast and the index history, shown next to the market so the edge is visible, with a living order book to trade against.
Lists next-day products only where the oracle's recent hours settle, and shows this feed on every market so the evidence is on the page before settlement.
Settles on the oracle's determination and nothing else, with the run, the anchor and the readings kept on the settled market.

Readings and verdict from the oracle's own run as served to a subscriber. The rule that turns eleven readings into one number is the oracle's and is not disclosed; what it decided is.Powered by Weather Data Market

Daily forecast

16 days

HighLowAverageRain2026-09-28 onward · hover a day for every figure

Date	Avg °C	Max	Min	Rain mm	Hum %	Wind m/s	Src
2026-09-28	26.3	31.1	24.2	21.5	92	1.1	1
2026-09-29	25.7	29.7	23.6	28.9	93	1.1	1
2026-09-30	27.2	30.2	24.5	2.3	86	0.9	1
2026-10-01	26.4	30.1	24.4	7.9	92	1.0	1
2026-10-02	26.7	29.7	24.2	4.8	91	0.9	1
2026-10-03	26.6	29.9	24.3	8.4	91	1.2	1
2026-10-04	25.5	27.1	23.9	14.4	95	1.3	1
2026-10-05	25.9	27.5	24.5	9.6	93	1.7	1
2026-10-06	26.7	29.4	24.6	8.4	90	1.8	1
2026-10-07	26.4	29.1	24.2	7.2	91	1.6	1
2026-10-08	26.2	28.5	24.1	26.9	91	0.9	1
2026-10-09	26.5	28.8	24.8	6.0	91	1.0	1
2026-10-10	26.7	29.1	24.6	1.9	89	1.2	1
2026-10-11	26.5	28.5	24.6	12.5	92	0.8	1
2026-10-12	26.1	27.8	24.4	5.5	92	0.7	1
2026-10-13	27.5	31.6	24.6	5.7	80	2.3	1

Open markets 78

Product board →

Next-day markets are not listed automatically for Cebu: too many of its recent hours were not settlement-eligible, and a next-day market that voids after a day of trading helps nobody. The 3-, 7- and 14-day markets are listed as usual, and you can open a next-day market by hand on the right.

Question	Model	Market	Edge	Closes	Volume
Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 2mm at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	55%	50%	+5	12 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 31°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	20%	38%	-18	12 h	224 sUSDT
Will Cebu humidity ≥ 80% at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	56%	56%	0	12 h	37 sUSDT
Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 3mm at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	44%	48%	-3	12 h	168 sUSDT
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 30°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	41%	50%	-9	12 h	10 sUSDT
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 29°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	66%	51%	+15	12 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 32°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	7%	20%	-13	12 h	51 sUSDT
Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 1mm at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	67%	54%	+14	12 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu humidity ≥ 80% at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	28%	47%	-19	36 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 27°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	95%	53%	+42	36 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 32°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	17%	26%	-8	36 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 28°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	87%	54%	+33	36 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 30°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	53%	48%	+5	36 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 29°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	72%	54%	+19	36 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu humidity ≥ 75% at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	47%	57%	-11	36 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 0.2mm at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	16%	23%	-7	36 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 0.5mm at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	8%	55%	-47	36 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 31°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	33%	46%	-13	36 h	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 2mm at 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC? target 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC	12%	47%	-34	3 d	0 sUSDT
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 27°C at 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC? target 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC	91%	55%	+36	3 d	0 sUSDT

Recently settled

Question	Result	Settled
Will Cebu humidity ≥ 80% at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?	void	6 h ago
Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 2mm at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?	void	6 h ago
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 32°C at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?	void	6 h ago
Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 0.5mm at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?	void	6 h ago
Will Cebu temperature ≥ 30°C at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?	void	8 h ago

Station day · RPVM · 2026-09-29

2026-09-29 local · 16:00Z → 16:00Z UTC · +08:00

Reading the station…

Open a market

A YES/NO market on a condition at a whole UTC hour, settled by the oracle determination. Priced off the forecast; trading closes 1 h before the target hour.

Parametric insurance

Buy a cover on Cebu that pays the full amount when the condition is met at the target hour.

Insure this city →

Date

Avg °C

Max

Min

Rain mm

Hum %

Wind m/s

2026-09-28

26.3

31.1

24.2

21.5

1.1

2026-09-29

25.7

29.7

23.6

28.9

1.1

2026-09-30

27.2

30.2

24.5

2.3

0.9

2026-10-01

26.4

30.1

24.4

7.9

1.0

2026-10-02

26.7

29.7

24.2

4.8

0.9

2026-10-03

26.6

29.9

24.3

8.4

1.2

2026-10-04

25.5

27.1

23.9

14.4

1.3

2026-10-05

25.9

27.5

24.5

9.6

1.7

2026-10-06

26.7

29.4

24.6

8.4

1.8

2026-10-07

26.4

29.1

24.2

7.2

1.6

2026-10-08

26.2

28.5

24.1

26.9

0.9

2026-10-09

26.5

28.8

24.8

6.0

1.0

2026-10-10

26.7

29.1

24.6

1.9

1.2

2026-10-11

26.5

28.5

24.6

12.5

0.8

2026-10-12

26.1

27.8

24.4

5.5

0.7

2026-10-13

27.5

31.6

24.6

5.7

2.3

Question

Market

Edge

Closes

Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 2mm at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC

50%

12 h

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 31°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC

38%

-18

12 h

Will Cebu humidity ≥ 80% at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC

56%

12 h

Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 3mm at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC

48%

-3

12 h

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 30°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC

50%

-9

12 h

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 29°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC

51%

+15

12 h

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 32°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC

20%

-13

12 h

Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 1mm at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC

54%

+14

12 h

Will Cebu humidity ≥ 80% at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC

47%

-19

36 h

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 27°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC

53%

+42

36 h

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 32°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC

26%

-8

36 h

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 28°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC

54%

+33

36 h

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 30°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC

48%

36 h

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 29°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC

54%

+19

36 h

Will Cebu humidity ≥ 75% at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC

57%

-11

36 h

Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 0.2mm at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC

23%

-7

36 h

Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 0.5mm at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC

55%

-47

36 h

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 31°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC

46%

-13

36 h

Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 2mm at 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC

47%

-34

3 d

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 27°C at 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC?

target 2026-10-01 06:00 UTC

55%

+36

3 d

Question

Result

Settled

Will Cebu humidity ≥ 80% at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?

void

6 h ago

Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 2mm at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?

void

6 h ago

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 32°C at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?

void

6 h ago

Will Cebu precipitation ≥ 0.5mm at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?

void

6 h ago

Will Cebu temperature ≥ 30°C at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?

void

8 h ago

Open a market

A YES/NO market on a condition at a whole UTC hour, settled by the oracle determination. Priced off the forecast; trading closes 1 h before the target hour.