Cities / Europe

Edinburgh

United Kingdom·Europe·EGPH·55.95, -3.19

Grade BSettles reliably79%of hours settle-eligible (7d)· 85% (30d)

weathermarket.ai ↗Insure this city Open a market

Hourly consensus

verified

Temperature

9.8°C

Humidity

78%

Wind

1.7m/s

Precipitation

0.0mm

WDI: 41.60
TDI: 49.70
Sources: 11 / 11
Settlement: eligible

Indices · this hour

History & sources on weathermarket.ai ↗Index spec ↗

WDIheadline

41.6

Weather Data Index

Composite of temperature, humidity, wind and rain, 0–100 · unit-free

TDI

49.7

Temperature Data Index

The temperature component on its own, 0–100 · unit-free

Index history · last 7 days · one point per run

WDITDItemp °Cfull history on weathermarket.ai ↗

Loading history…

Run run_4sSA0SlOpN

Anchor 0xe49e9703…d5ae54 ↗

as of 2026-09-28 21:01 UTC

refreshed 32 min ago (cached)

Live consensus feed

Reading the run…

weathermarket.ai · the oracle

Eleven independent feeds every hour: two measured at the station, nine numerical models from national weather services.
Outliers excluded per metric, corroboration counted between the measured sources, and a verdict per metric on whether the hour can settle.
Every run hashed and anchored on a public ledger, so the number a market settles on can be checked after the fact.
Station records for the local calendar day with the raw METAR behind each extreme, and a 16-day forecast cut on station time.

weathermarket.io · this simulator

Turns each run into tradeable markets and parametric covers on 167 cities: hourly conditions, station-day extremes and index thresholds.
Prices from the forecast and the index history, shown next to the market so the edge is visible, with a living order book to trade against.
Lists next-day products only where the oracle's recent hours settle, and shows this feed on every market so the evidence is on the page before settlement.
Settles on the oracle's determination and nothing else, with the run, the anchor and the readings kept on the settled market.

Readings and verdict from the oracle's own run as served to a subscriber. The rule that turns eleven readings into one number is the oracle's and is not disclosed; what it decided is.Powered by Weather Data Market

Daily forecast

15 days

HighLowAverageRain2026-09-28 onward · hover a day for every figure

Date	Avg °C	Max	Min	Rain mm	Hum %	Wind m/s	Src
2026-09-28	12.2	16.2	9.0	0.0	70	3.2	1
2026-09-29	13.3	16.5	9.4	0.0	79	4.6	1
2026-09-30	16.5	19.0	13.5	6.0	75	3.9	1
2026-10-01	13.6	17.4	10.4	0.0	70	2.3	1
2026-10-02	13.5	16.1	11.0	6.0	78	3.0	1
2026-10-03	11.7	14.6	9.2	0.0	69	3.2	1
2026-10-04	13.2	15.5	10.0	0.0	78	4.5	1
2026-10-05	15.9	17.2	15.1	0.5	84	6.3	1
2026-10-06	13.8	15.2	10.9	8.1	88	4.5	1
2026-10-07	9.3	11.4	7.1	1.0	77	4.9	1
2026-10-08	8.8	11.3	6.1	1.0	77	3.5	1
2026-10-09	11.0	11.9	9.6	7.2	88	5.5	1
2026-10-10	9.8	12.2	7.7	0.2	79	4.8	1
2026-10-11	8.8	12.1	7.1	0.6	81	2.8	1
2026-10-12	7.6	9.6	5.8	13.1	90	3.9	1

Open markets 52

Product board →

Question	Model	Market	Edge	Closes	Volume
Will Edinburgh temperature ≤ 8°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	7%	20%	-13	7 h	0 sUSDT
Will Edinburgh wind ≥ 4m/s at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	66%	47%	+20	7 h	0 sUSDT
Will Edinburgh wind ≥ 5m/s at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	38%	33%	+5	7 h	0 sUSDT
Will Edinburgh temperature ≤ 9°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	20%	28%	-9	7 h	0 sUSDT
Will Edinburgh temperature ≥ 11°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	32%	45%	-13	7 h	180 sUSDT
Will Edinburgh temperature ≥ 10°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	58%	55%	+3	7 h	57 sUSDT
Will Edinburgh humidity ≥ 80% at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	83%	46%	+36	7 h	0 sUSDT
Will Edinburgh temperature ≥ 12°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	13%	18%	-5	7 h	383 sUSDT
Will Edinburgh temperature ≥ 13°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	4%	20%	-16	7 h	0 sUSDT
Will Edinburgh humidity ≥ 90% at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	40%	41%	-1	7 h	0 sUSDT
Will Edinburgh temperature ≥ 9°C at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	80%	58%	+22	7 h	0 sUSDT
Will Edinburgh precipitation ≥ 0.2mm at 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-29 06:00 UTC	3%	35%	-31	7 h	420 sUSDT
Will Edinburgh temperature ≥ 12°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	88%	50%	+38	31 h	0 sUSDT
Will Edinburgh precipitation ≥ 0.2mm at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	41%	35%	+6	31 h	0 sUSDT
Will Edinburgh humidity ≥ 80% at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	66%	57%	+9	31 h	0 sUSDT
Will Edinburgh temperature ≥ 16°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	17%	50%	-33	31 h	0 sUSDT
Will Edinburgh temperature ≥ 15°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	34%	52%	-19	31 h	0 sUSDT
Will Edinburgh temperature ≥ 14°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	54%	54%	+1	31 h	0 sUSDT
Will Edinburgh humidity ≥ 85% at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	46%	43%	+3	31 h	0 sUSDT
Will Edinburgh temperature ≥ 17°C at 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC? target 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	7%	21%	-15	31 h	0 sUSDT

Recently settled

Question	Result	Settled
Will Edinburgh wind ≥ 3m/s at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?	resolved YES	8 h ago
Will Edinburgh temperature ≤ 9°C at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?	resolved YES	8 h ago
Will Edinburgh humidity ≥ 75% at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?	resolved YES	11 h ago
Will Edinburgh temperature ≥ 12°C at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?	resolved NO	11 h ago
Will Edinburgh temperature ≥ 11°C at 2026-09-28 06:00 UTC?	resolved NO	13 h ago

Station day · EGPH · 2026-09-28

2026-09-28 local · 23:00Z → 23:00Z UTC · +01:00

Reading the station…

Open a market

A YES/NO market on a condition at a whole UTC hour, settled by the oracle determination. Priced off the forecast; trading closes 1 h before the target hour.

Parametric insurance

Buy a cover on Edinburgh that pays the full amount when the condition is met at the target hour.

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