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OpenPower · Cooling demandWeather index future · simulation

Dubai cooling degree days · Week 47 · Nov 16 - Nov 22

Cooling degree days at OMDB · 7 local days, 2026-11-16 to 2026-11-22 · trading closes 11-21 20:00 (8 d)

Market index
55.6°C-days
Long 50.9¢ · Short 49.1¢ per share
Model fair
55.7 ± 9.9
priced 23 min ago
Edge
+0.1
fair minus market
Volume
365
12 traders
Open interest
422 / 310
long / short shares
20 · long pays 0long pays 1 · 90
Market 55.6Model fair 55.7
Listed at 53.7 · quoted by a market maker, no order book · one share moves 0.0143 sUSDT per index point

Real-asset futures that follow this index

simulated prices

Each contract below is a commodity price index the demo simulates: 100 on the day it was listed, moved by this contract's CDD and by a simulated market factor. Weather-implied is the price at the index this market is trading at now; when it differs from the asset's own market price, simulated spread traders trade the two against each other.

ContractMarket priceWeather-implied
PWR-OMDB-26W47Electricity103.21long 53¢105.36

How the index builds, day by day

Forecast

Each bar is one local day's contribution to the index. Days on the final record count as they stand; the rest are the model's estimate, with a whisker one standard deviation either way.

081511-1611-1711-1811-1911-2011-2111-22
Day-by-day table
DaySourceHighLowCDDRunning total
Mon, Nov 16Forecast29.7°C23.6°C8.6 ± 1.98.6
Tue, Nov 17Forecast29.3°C25.6°C9.4 ± 2.018.1
Wed, Nov 18Forecast28.5°C24.1°C8.3 ± 2.226.4
Thu, Nov 19Forecast30.6°C20.3°C7.5 ± 2.433.8
Fri, Nov 20Forecast29.1°C24.7°C8.9 ± 2.642.7
Sat, Nov 21Forecast28.2°C20.3°C6.3 ± 2.749.0
Sun, Nov 22Forecast28.9°C20.6°C6.8 ± 2.955.8

Market index path

one step per trade · dashed line: model fair now
47.454.060.5

Recent trades

TimeTradeSharesAmountAvg price
11-13 19:50Buy shortpair14.046.8748.9¢
11-13 17:50Buy short23.3811.3348.5¢
11-13 16:50Buy long37.6619.3451.4¢
11-13 13:50Buy long47.8124.0450.3¢
11-13 08:50Buy long27.1313.3949.3¢
11-13 06:50Buy shortpair23.8312.0850.7¢
11-13 05:50Buy shortpair12.926.4950.2¢
11-13 05:50Buy long50.6824.9849.3¢
11-13 03:50Buy long75.4235.9947.7¢
11-13 00:50Buy long46.9321.6846.2¢
11-12 18:50Buy longpair16.037.2845.4¢
11-12 18:50Buy short51.1227.6854.2¢
11-12 14:50Buy longpair18.668.6346.3¢
11-12 14:50Buy short59.5631.7153.2¢
11-12 12:50Buy long38.6018.1547.0¢

A trade marked pair is one leg of a simulated spread trade: the other leg is in a real-asset contract that follows this index.

Settlement

This contract settles on the sum of the station's daily records, as soon as the oracle marks all 7 days final and settleable - no earlier than 11-22 23:00. If a day of the period cannot settle, the contract is void and every position is refunded at cost.

Contract specification

Symbol
CDD-OMDB-26W47
Index
Cooling degree days (CDD), in °C-days
Formula
max(0, (high + low) / 2 - 18), summed over the period
Station
OMDB · Dubai
Period
Week 47 · Nov 16 - Nov 22 · 7 local days, 2026-11-16 to 2026-11-22
Band
20 to 90
Payoff
Long: (index - 20) / 70 sUSDT per share, held to 0..1. Short: 1 minus that.
Point value
0.0143 sUSDT per share per index point
Trading closes
2026-11-21 20:00 UTC
Settles from
2026-11-22 23:00 UTC
Settlement source
The station's daily record, final and settleable, from the Weather Market oracle
Hedges
Power - Electricity, LNG for power (the exposure it hedges; this contract settles on the index)
Trade CDD-OMDB-26W47

Long gains if CDD finishes above the level you pay for.

Virtual sUSDT only. No monetary value.

Rules in short
  • Long gains when the index finishes higher, short when it finishes lower. A long and a short share together always pay 1 sUSDT.
  • Outside the band 20 to 90 the contract pays as if the index had finished on the edge.
  • You pay in full when you buy. What you paid is the most you can lose: no margin, no liquidation.
  • You can sell back to the market maker at any time before trading closes, when the last day of the period begins.
  • Void, with every position refunded at cost, if any day of the period cannot settle on the record.
Full rules →