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OpenPower · Cooling demandWeather index future · simulation

Dubai cooling degree days · Week 48 · Nov 23 - Nov 29

Cooling degree days at OMDB · 7 local days, 2026-11-23 to 2026-11-29 · trading closes 11-28 20:00 (15 d)

Market index
44.9°C-days
Long 44.9¢ · Short 55.1¢ per share
Model fair
44.1 ± 15.1
priced 23 min ago
Edge
-0.7
fair minus market
Volume
425
10 traders
Open interest
386 / 457
long / short shares
0 · long pays 0long pays 1 · 100
Market 44.9Model fair 44.1
Listed at 46.6 · quoted by a market maker, no order book · one share moves 0.0100 sUSDT per index point

Real-asset futures that follow this index

simulated prices

Each contract below is a commodity price index the demo simulates: 100 on the day it was listed, moved by this contract's CDD and by a simulated market factor. Weather-implied is the price at the index this market is trading at now; when it differs from the asset's own market price, simulated spread traders trade the two against each other.

ContractMarket priceWeather-implied
PWR-OMDB-26W48Electricity105.18long 54¢99.55

How the index builds, day by day

ForecastBeyond the forecast

Each bar is one local day's contribution to the index. Days on the final record count as they stand; the rest are the model's estimate, with a whisker one standard deviation either way.

081511-2311-2411-2511-2611-2711-2811-29
Day-by-day table
DaySourceHighLowCDDRunning total
Mon, Nov 23Forecast28.2°C19.9°C6.1 ± 3.16.1
Tue, Nov 24Forecast27.8°C18.9°C5.4 ± 3.211.5
Wed, Nov 25Forecast27.7°C19.2°C5.6 ± 3.417.1
Thu, Nov 26Forecast28.9°C23.6°C8.3 ± 3.825.4
Fri, Nov 27Forecast27.7°C19.9°C6.0 ± 3.831.3
Sat, Nov 28Forecast30.1°C18.9°C6.6 ± 4.137.9
Sun, Nov 29Beyond the forecast27.3°C20.7°C6.2 ± 4.144.1

Market index path

one step per trade · dashed line: model fair now
38.146.855.4

Recent trades

TimeTradeSharesAmountAvg price
11-13 19:50Buy short67.7736.7854.3¢
11-13 11:50Buy short52.2427.5752.8¢
11-13 10:50Buy short28.7814.9051.8¢
11-13 09:50Buy shortpair18.419.4251.2¢
11-13 07:50Buy short15.237.7350.8¢
11-13 06:50Buy long69.6033.8048.6¢
11-13 01:50Buy longpair50.6323.8347.1¢
11-13 01:50Buy short80.7642.4552.6¢
11-13 00:50Buy short14.197.2951.4¢
11-12 21:50Buy longpair27.0913.1348.5¢
11-12 20:50Buy longpair39.7918.9547.6¢
11-12 18:50Buy short19.5010.2652.6¢
11-12 11:50Buy shortpair52.3127.0651.7¢
11-12 11:50Buy long94.6345.1847.7¢
11-12 10:50Buy long75.3034.3645.6¢

A trade marked pair is one leg of a simulated spread trade: the other leg is in a real-asset contract that follows this index.

Settlement

This contract settles on the sum of the station's daily records, as soon as the oracle marks all 7 days final and settleable - no earlier than 11-29 23:00. If a day of the period cannot settle, the contract is void and every position is refunded at cost.

Contract specification

Symbol
CDD-OMDB-26W48
Index
Cooling degree days (CDD), in °C-days
Formula
max(0, (high + low) / 2 - 18), summed over the period
Station
OMDB · Dubai
Period
Week 48 · Nov 23 - Nov 29 · 7 local days, 2026-11-23 to 2026-11-29
Band
0 to 100
Payoff
Long: (index - 0) / 100 sUSDT per share, held to 0..1. Short: 1 minus that.
Point value
0.0100 sUSDT per share per index point
Trading closes
2026-11-28 20:00 UTC
Settles from
2026-11-29 23:00 UTC
Settlement source
The station's daily record, final and settleable, from the Weather Market oracle
Hedges
Power - Electricity, LNG for power (the exposure it hedges; this contract settles on the index)
Trade CDD-OMDB-26W48

Long gains if CDD finishes above the level you pay for.

Virtual sUSDT only. No monetary value.

Rules in short
  • Long gains when the index finishes higher, short when it finishes lower. A long and a short share together always pay 1 sUSDT.
  • Outside the band 0 to 100 the contract pays as if the index had finished on the edge.
  • You pay in full when you buy. What you paid is the most you can lose: no margin, no liquidation.
  • You can sell back to the market maker at any time before trading closes, when the last day of the period begins.
  • Void, with every position refunded at cost, if any day of the period cannot settle on the record.
Full rules →