| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 106.78 | 56.2% | 60.00 | 42.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.19 | 53.5% | 60.00 | 45.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.96 | 51.8% | 11.38 | 47.9% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.05 | 50.8% | 27.99 | 48.5% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.44 | 48.5% | 53.05 | 49.8% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 39.73 | 52.4% | 20.82 | 47.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →