| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.22 | 62.1% | 23.12 | 37.4% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.29 | 61.3% | 21.01 | 38.3% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.12 | 59.8% | 52.71 | 39.1% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 104.38 | 57.5% | 60.00 | 41.2% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 109.39 | 54.9% | 60.00 | 43.8% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 115.26 | 52.1% | 60.00 | 46.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →