| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 114.95 | 38.1% | 43.82 | 39.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 149.79 | 35.1% | 52.51 | 36.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 191.83 | 31.3% | 60.00 | 33.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 222.07 | 27.0% | 60.00 | 29.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 204.25 | 23.0% | 47.03 | 24.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 320.28 | 18.7% | 60.00 | 21.2% |
The condition is on the daily high at station RJTT over its local calendar day 2026-11-11 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →