| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 120.10 | 39.3% | 47.23 | 40.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.89 | 36.7% | 36.69 | 37.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.69 | 34.5% | 32.00 | 35.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 191.08 | 31.4% | 60.00 | 33.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 176.98 | 27.6% | 48.81 | 29.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 255.42 | 23.5% | 60.00 | 25.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 320.28 | 18.7% | 60.00 | 21.2% |
The condition is on the daily high at station YSSY over its local calendar day 2026-11-11 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →